Eurasia Sees Brazil Runoff Upset Odds Rising in October as Bolsonaro Son Faces Fraud Link
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · May 15
Eurasia Sees Brazil Runoff Upset Odds Rising in October as Bolsonaro Son Faces Fraud Link
1 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · May 15
Eurasia Group said analysts are underestimating the chances that a right-wing candidate other than Senator Flavio Bolsonaro reaches Brazil’s October runoff against President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva.
Leaked audio messages tied Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, to businessman Daniel Vorcaro, who is at the center of a multibillion-dollar banking fraud case in Brazil.
Christopher Garman, Eurasia’s managing director for the Americas, said that link raises the odds that another right-wing contender, rather than Flavio Bolsonaro, advances to the second round.
The assessment points to a more fragmented right-wing field ahead of the October vote, potentially reshaping Lula’s expected runoff opponent.
A corruption scandal has sidelined a top contender. Who will now lead Brazil's right against President Lula?
As scandal weakens his rivals, is President Lula's path to re-election in October now guaranteed?