The 2028 Taiwan Strait Crisis Warning: Risks, Scenarios, and Global Economic Fallout
Overview
This report highlights Kevin Rudd’s warning of a heightened risk of crisis in the Taiwan Strait by 2028, drawing on his deep expertise in Chinese affairs. Rudd’s unique background—including his experience as a Mandarin-speaking former Australian Prime Minister, his personal acquaintance with Xi Jinping, and his academic work on Chinese leadership—gives weight to his analysis. He points to a critical convergence of geopolitical, military, and leadership factors, emphasizing that intensifying strategic competition among major powers and evolving leadership ambitions could escalate tensions. The report underscores the importance of monitoring these interconnected risks as 2028 approaches.