Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jun 9
BTIG Sees Nasdaq Breaching Friday Low Within 5 Days After 4.18% Drop
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jun 9

BTIG Sees Nasdaq Breaching Friday Low Within 5 Days After 4.18% Drop

1 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jun 9

Summary

  • BTIG said the Nasdaq Composite is likely to undercut last Friday’s intraday low within five trading days after the index sank 4.18% in its worst one-day fall since April 2025.
  • 22 prior Friday drops of 4% or more over the past 30 years underpin that call: the index broke the Friday low the next Monday 17 times and by the end of the following week 19 times.
  • Jonathan Krinsky said the Nasdaq 100 is now retesting its 20-day moving average at 29,684 from below, a setup he called a point to lighten positions rather than expect a durable rebound.
  • The selloff was led by chip stocks, with some investors tying the weakness to disappointment that Broadcom did not raise its AI chip outlook; BTIG said the current market is not as oversold as the rare historical exceptions.
  • BTIG added that while the Friday low has always eventually been retested after such routs, average and median Nasdaq returns in the following weeks have still been positive.

Insights

A historical pattern gives 90% odds of another Nasdaq drop. In an AI-driven market, do old rules still apply?
With the Fed now holding off rate cuts until 2027, can AI's momentum alone shield the market from worsening economic headwinds?